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Showing posts with label Karl Flugge. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Karl Flugge. Show all posts

Saturday, July 11, 2020

Upsurge in numberr of cases of Covid 19

It is more fun criticizing

COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns ...
Xplorr Tours & Travels - Home | Facebook

We have heard these horror stories with regards to covid19

1.  It is common to hear that the daily number of cases are in low 1,000 or high 2,500

2.  There was news that in a construction site, 500 workers tested positive.

3.  That for the trains most of the workers in maintenance and those who are ticketing tested positive

4.  In our local areas there  is a noticeable climb in the number of cases

5.  In churches in USA (which demanded early opening) they are closed again because of the high number of cases emanating from church rites and services...

6.  In a balikbayan ...pi (celebration, painom, tsibugan) two died in a village, and 18 others were infected.  Hence  the liquor ban

This post emphasizes the 3Cs as factor in spread of infection:  closed spaces, close personal contact, and crowds. 

     In a construction site, there is crowding, prolonged contact among workers and they constantly
     shout.  The shouting causes the micro droplets to float and infect each other

     In a church, people are in close contact, there is a crowd, and people sing pray and talk.  These
     activities emit microdroplets which float in the air. and give each one a minimum infection dose


Turbulent gas clouds and respiratory disease transmission

    From Infection Control today.CHURCHES COULD BE THE DEADLIEST PLACE DURING THE PANDEMIC

Saturday, June 13, 2020

Discoveries that can help us remove anxieties and old practices in dealing with the pandemic

It is more fun criticizing

Rizal Philippines
June 13, 2020

We just learned of the death of a PNP doctor after inhaling misting of disinfectant in a misting tent
 after work.  NO less than DOH disapproved of such practices

Others that are being circulated:

     1.  When one goes home, he should take off his shoes and clothes lest he brings home virus
           to his home

     2.  One should take a bath;

     3.  Temperature scanning at checkpoints and check points

     4.  Blockades and barriers among barangays and between municipalities

  And yet liquor ban was lifted and barik, tagay were allowed. In total disregard of science with respect to the covid 19 spread.

Some clarifications and new knowledge:

1.  Covid 19 is spread via person to person, and via droplet infection (Fluggean theory) and in conditions where: (there are 3cs)

     1.  Crowd
     2.  Closed spaces
     3.  Personal contact

     thus schools, malls, religious masses, gymns are dangerous places where you can get the infection

 and via droplets.  If people meet and dont talk and meet briefly, there could be no transfer of infection.  We have seen this in queues at marketplace that happen daily

2.  And is spread when droplets  are emitted from person via coughing, sneezing,  (for symptomatic patients) and even via passive non symptomatic activities like talking, shouting, singing.

There are two types of droplets.:   (Fluggean droplets)

     1.  The big droplets -  drops about a meter away from the person who emitted
     2.  The microdroplets -  about 1 to 10 microns and joins others in  puff that floats about 4 to 5 hours and about 8 meters away from the  origin. How it infects others depend in the minimum infection dose and the longer people stay together

    Thus superspreader events took place in festivities, church and other religious gatherings, choir
practice.  And specially in parties that are fuelled by alchohol.  In this respect  the liquor ban was
cognizant of science but its lifting was ill timed.      The tagay especially if done in the house is a ripe place for spread:  sharing glasses, laughing, talking, and long personal contact.

    A returning seaman nearby who was positive infected 19 others in a mountain village.  He invited his neighbors in a drinking session.  He died of covid19

   The fomite theory (seen in movie Contagion) has been disproven because employees of courier  companies dont get infected but cashiers in supermarket are infected

3.  That a vaccine will be available soon gives us false hope;  coronavirus can be termed endemic

   1.  Since 1918 there was never a vaccine developed.  Flu comes and go anytime

   2.  The corona virus keeps on mutating on a monthly basis.  To develop an antidote would be difficult for the virologists and vaccine

  3.  It takes a  lot of time for clinical testing:   with animals, limited human testing, full scale human testing for tests of efficacy and safety  (See what happened to Dengvaxia vs dengue)

One of the best bets we have is to develop our immunity by:

    1.  Having plenty of rest and sleep

    2.  Taking supplements:    NaC, Vit C and D (soaking in sunshine)

    3.  Hot showers.

And of course, wearing face masks, avoiding 3c and prayers.