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Thursday, April 2, 2020

Covid 19 origin; sino ang dapat sisihin?

It is more fun criticizing

Rizal Philippines
April 2, 2020

Two theories abound:  one is that it is a natural occurrence, and the other it was man made and/or that a country engaged in bio warfare or terrorism caused its sprea

Covid 19 virus origin


Bat, Rhinolophus affinis. Alexandre Hassanin, Author provided Coronavirus china virus health healthcare who world health organization disease deaths pandemic epidemic worries concerns Health virus contagious contagion viruses diseases disease lab laboratory doctor health dr nurse medical medicine drugs vaccines vaccinations inoculations technology testing test medicinal biotechnology biotech biology chemistry physics microscope research influenza flu cold common cold bug risk symptomes respiratory china iran italy europe asia america south america north washing hands wash hands coughs sneezes spread spreading precaution precautions health warning covid 19 cov SARS 2019ncov wuhan sarscow wuhanpneumonia  pneumonia outbreak patients unhealthy fatality mortality elderly old elder age serious death deathly deadly


A coronavirus from the pangolin could be one of the sources for COVID-19. Coronavirus china virus health healthcare who world health organization disease deaths pandemic epidemic worries concerns Health virus contagious contagion viruses diseases disease lab laboratory doctor health dr nurse medical medicine drugs vaccines vaccinations inoculations technology testing test medicinal biotechnology biotech biology chemistry physics microscope research influenza flu cold common cold bug risk symptomes respiratory china iran italy europe asia america south america north washing hands wash hands coughs sneezes spread spreading precaution precautions health warning covid 19 cov SARS 2019ncov wuhan sarscow wuhanpneumonia  pneumonia outbreak patients unhealthy fatality mortality elderly old elder age serious death deathly deadly
The New Scientist - Covid 19

The natural theory suggests that:

    1.  Corona virus is with humans all the while

    2.  That it could have come from bats and pangolins from Malaysia.  But investigations of the genes
         would not support that.

   3. That it is a mutation from the SARS virus.

CONSPIRACY THEORIES

That it was spread by China

1.  All  ready a lawyer in US filed a class action suit for $20 trillion for causing mass destruction of lives nd wealth in the US

2.  US investigators are filing charges vs. Chinese scholars at Harvard for alleged spying theft of US intellectual property which involve gnome sequencing

3.  A Tier article suggested that a Bio Weapons Lab exists at Wuhan and it may have leaked accidentally
    (Wuhan Institute of Virology is 10 miles away from the Wuhan marketplace where the  ground zero)
from a Mosher Article  as related by Maj Gen Chen Weil a virologist and bio weapons expert  From Scientist - theory that it originated from a Virus Institute lacks evidence  This third allegations is purely circumstantial.)


That it is US

1. US maintains bio weapons labs in various places involved in SARS, anthrax and other diseases research
At At Dugway (from Business Insider) and Fort Detrick Maryland  (The CDC shut it down last March 20, 2020 on alleged handling of its wastes)

Who what do you believe agree with


Nagkatotoo na World War 3, walang putukan, walang mga sundalo, pero maraming namatay

It is more fun criticizing

Rizal Philippines
April 2, 2020


Will there be a world war 3

The world's most dangerous bioweapons


Could the Coronavirus Be a Biological Weapon in the Not-Too ...



Many fear World War 3.  As nations build faster planes, more killing power of missiles and other military armaments.   Bigger more powerful aircraft carriers.  Deadlier nuclear weapon. Many fear that is should not happened because it may mean the end of the world as we know it.

Bio terror from bio weapons - are they legal  (the downside of bio tech engineering.    Weapon of mass destruction)

As we await these to take place, we are saddened by its sudden happening via bio weapons;  via Covid 19.  Without a single shot fired, without deployment of soldiers, our nightmare suddenly appeared:  Without destruction of roads, bridges, and buildings Wold war 3 is taking place now.

     500,000 infected
     174 countries
     40,000 dead

Devastating the whole world, shutting down factories, and other supply chain, millions jobless,  trillions worth of wealth wiped up from stock markets.  We see empty streets, demand for oil  and prices of oil severely diminished

All ready the world organization pronounced that the world is in recession.

Who started the war?

Who is winning the war?   US seems to be the biggest loser the victor and the savior.

    1. US surpasses China with most coVid patients

    2.  US runs out of PPE and does not have test kits nor vaccines to speak of

   3.  Stock and oil markets plunge.

   4. China buys in bargain hunts the stocks of strategic industries depressed by the current Coronavirus scarre

Wednesday, April 1, 2020

A more comprehensive, coherent plan for Philippines in Battling the CoVid Pandemic

It is more fun criticizing

Rizal Philippines
April 1, 2020

Happy April Fools Day
Health experts refute misleading 'timeline' of COVID-19 symptoms ...


Situation:/Problem

1.  A famed Pediatric Transplant Surgeon died of CoVid 19 died, and his son wished that the  govt  had "a more coherent plan" vs the epidemic.  Dont we have a coherent plan?

As I tried to review the literature available, there seems to be no pandemic plan, or one that tells how to handle a lockdown.  We are in a new territory.

There are movies that depicts pandemic situation in 2011, and pandemic protocol at the the time of Pres George Bush.   We could have just copied them.

There is RA 11332 but reviewing it only tells the reporting of the notifiable diseases, and does not tell, of a national comprehensive plan how to deal with a pandemic, like resources and methodology.  Here we are talking of shortages of PPE and ventilators which should have been covered in a comprehensive pandemic plan...

2.  Despite the strict lockdown, the number of cases of doubled to 2,000 and others were saying the lockdown was a failure.  (No it is not.  The number of deaths despite the size of population is still in the low double digits and number of cases low 4 numbers)

3.  Maybe because of machismo attitude vs the disease:     duduran or ihiian, sasampalin the leadership of the Philippines took the situation lightly, and the  professionals reporting to him, busy as they are had plenty of oversights, and left much of the work to the barangay, who are busy all ready, and who are ill capacitated to handle a complex situation like a pandemic.

   In a coherent plan, in a lockdown, detailed procedures should have been made  detailed, resources provided and adequate training made.

      1.  Communication of the orders,  (this is an important part of the protocol

      2.  Training of the frontliners, policemen, soldiers and barangay officials.

     3.  Transport of goods and medicine (neglected) and food (divergent policies of LGUs are all
           ready endangering food supplies in the centers of population

    4.  Food of the residents.  In a lockdown situation, as in Wuhan, the govt provides the food of all
        citizens 3x a day, because everybody stays at home

    5.  Stockpiles of medical supplies:   PPE medicines, vaccines.  Some claim that the death of many health            professionals are caused by lack of PPE.  We are canvassaing for ventilators which are in short supply.          The govt procurement procedures, as I reviewed with a supplier appear very complex

   6.  Because of various lockdown policies:   like limited market hours etc the goal of the lockdown, to
        limit transmission became much worse. The military punishment by PNP and AFP on civilian  popu-
        lation is causing friction between the govt and the civilian population

4.  Adopting only one strategy:  strict lockdown with adverse social and economic costs

     The European countries failed to implement lockdown, but SK and Japan are battling the disease
     through  mass testing, isolating the sick, quarantine  facilities

     Maybe we are evolving because we welcomed the Abbot POC testing, China test kits.  We are setting
     Covid 19 Centers, and quarantine facilities and yes, expanded the  number of accredited laboratories.

    Maybe we and or our senior officers should not be faulted because of China influence on our President.  The Chinese hid many information from the Philippine health officers like the the extent of infection during the  Lunar New Year, hence we allowed Wuhan residents to spread infection to the Philippines

5.  Allowing the  Wuhan migrants to land at the Philippines when the the infection was all ready at all time
     high at Wuhan.

6.  All ready many are questioning the competence and lack of leadership of senior manager at the Health Department which includes but not limited to conflict of interest, late response, being reactive rather than being proactive

     1.  Adamance to implement  mass testing

     2.  Alleged COI

    3.   Lack of planning and preparation  

7.  Lack of unity of command, compliance and obedience (sakit ng Pinoy)

    There is no need for this in Japan, SK or Japan (we are more like the Spaniards and Italians) who continued to party despite the  epidemic

    Examples:

   1.  Varied and conflicting orders and laws implementing lockdowns, thus slowing or impeding flow of
        goods and food to the centers of population.  Thus we have  cases of rotting undelivered vegetables
        Plenty of rice in the province but rising prices in cities because of lack of rice because of lockdowns
       in the provinces

   2.  Transport of medical personnel, although solved later on

   3.  Problems in food distribution.  All ready there are reported trouble due to delays in food distribution

Maybe the health officials are good at observing protocols but are not good at changing them.  (Matitigas din ang ulo) That is why the health officials will keep repeating the same thing, until we/they find it not to be working.  May be we are good at treating the patients but the lack of test kits, PPE and ventilators are hampering our effortts


Options:

1.  Do nothing do as per seat of the pants or as we are doing now

2. Have a comprehensive lockdown  procedures and



A Comprehensive Pandemic Master Plan since we are hit by so many epidemic:    ASF, Swine Flu, Sars, Mercov, Ebola, Warburg.

Coverage

1.  Reporting

     1.  Statistics
     2.  Analysis
     3.  Contact tracing

2.  Declaration of a Pandemic
     1. Communication
     2.  Implementation
     3.  Organization
     4.  Reporting

3.  Preparation

     Inputs  Materials Equipment

     1.  PPE stockpile
     2.  Medicines stockpiles and research into vaccines and test kits
     3. Ventilators
     4. Quarantine centers
     5.  Quarters of health workers

     Transportation

     - Budget requirements (I understand P10B was removed from DOH budget
     - Removal of red tape in procurement

4.  Lockdown and quarantine:

    1.  Who will implement

    2.  Training the soldiers,  PNP who will implement the order, Barangay

    3.  Communication:  command and control

   4.  Food distribution  budget, logistics -  outsourced ba

   5. Transportation  outsourced ba?  Para mas mabilis

   6.  Enforcement

   7.  Aid through barangay or through a more professional  automated govt offices used in handling large amounts/number of checks.   Or through banks?    I smell large billion peso graft in the proposed system
to handle the distrribution of P200 B aid of P5 to P8 k aid to those adversely affected by the emergency.

N. B.  I should not be doing this, just stay at home. But who knows I can be overcome by this virus, and would not have contributed to the improvement of this country.  Sayang



   Duterte's Manila Lockdown is A Disaster