All empires that tried to defeat Iran eventually folded up: Alexander the Great, Arabs Mongols, Russia, Iraq, and then the USA?
Will these trend be followed by events that are unfording?
What are teh factors to consider:
1. Manpower needed to control Iran 3.0 million
2. Expensive technology by US to fight Iran
3. Assymetry of economics: swarming cheap drones vs expensive
4. Huge cash needed to maintain war $900.00 million (1 billion a day) vs guerilla and
survival proxy war; impoverishing domestic US economy
US views the war as only one dimensional; Iran uses 3 other dimensions:
1. Economic - Hormuz can slow down world economy using Hormuz (without closing this)
by projectig fear and alarm (by using drones and boats) and thus spooks insurance...
2. Political - water and food (can be spooked by Iran as their neighbors get food through Hormuz.
Thus the war can turn the conflict into humanitarian crisis...
US is now becoming an isnurance provider.
3. Petro dollar - these conflict are eroding the power of petrodollar and puts difficulty in financing the war
4. Hometown narrative - if the population in USA no longer supports nor believes the narrative.
