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Showing posts with label scenario. Show all posts
Showing posts with label scenario. Show all posts

Sunday, April 24, 2022

Evolving nature of campaign tactics and strategies

It is more fun criticizing








It is really a time for evolution and innovation.  The campaign strategies and techniques hve radically changed in the Philippine setting.   Perhaps since 2016

It used to be campaign sorties:   house to house, miting de avance, meeting with the purok campaign leaders vote buying, cheating, terrorism

But now modern technologies are at work

1.  Use of social media:
     YT
     Face book
     IG and more

2.  Through these media you have:

     1.  YT of rallies and caravan
     2.  Trolls to create content for the favored candidate, or neutralize their accucastions;
     3.  Influencers:    Justice Carpio, Fmr Senate Pres Enrile, 

3.  Expensive  events:
   
     1.  Caravans
     2   Events/rallies
     3.  With generous t shirts and allowances

4.  Surveys contra surveys

    1.  SWS Publicus, OCTA, and own spontaneous surveys
    2.  Interviews of citizens at YT

 5.  Disruption of election results via Smartmatic and Comelec

Its two weeks to go. Whoever used the best combination of activities and resources will surely win
But fear factors are introduced Various scenarios are published:

     1.  CCP is allegely advising and supporting  VP Robredo
     2.  Scenarios:

          1.  BBM wins, but is DQ's either at Comelec and SD is promoted as Pres 
               BBM camp causes destabilization campaign

         2   LR wins and the BBM SD causes destablization

         3.  If there is trouble, PDU3 declares Martial law, CCP NDF joins the fray

Sayang sana we conduct this peacefully.  We are engaged in legal democtratic processes disrupt  our peace and progress

Monday, November 15, 2021

Sara Duterte files COC for VP, what is going to happen

It is more fun criticizing




We cant guess the scenario when Sarah Duterte withdrew her candidacy for Mayor of Davao City and filed COC for VP.   


What are the possibilities?

1.  A BBM Sarah Duterte tandem;

2.  A Bato Sarah Duterte combination

3.  A Bong Go (puwede pa ba)  Sarah Duterte combination

All ready people are asking questions  Did Pres Duterte file for VP or filing COC for senator  Will there be a Duterte Duterte fight for VP  (The PFP announced yesterday Marcos’ move, after another story broke out earlier that Duterte had slid to being a vice presidential aspirant, replacing Lyle Uy, a placeholder of the Lakas-CMD for the VP slot. - Philstar)

Bong Go and Bato withdrew their certificates of candidacy

PFP (Partido Federal ng Pilipinas  quickly adopted SD as their VP candidate.   

PFP resolution

The Nov. 13 PFP resolution read in part: “Vice presidential candidate Mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio of the Lakas-CMD is hereby adopted by the Partido Federal ng Pilipinas as its candidate for vice president, and hereby endorses her candidacy as the running mate of the PFP’s official candidate for president of the Philippines, Sen. Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. in the 9 May 2022 national elections.”



Read more: https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1514524/bbm-sara-taking-shape-rody-wants-to-be-vp-too#ixzz7CH2GzM8I
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Some people speculate how Sarah Duterte will perpetuate the DU30 dynasty

1.  BBM and Duterte join as a tandem.  BBM becomes Pres.  With finality  BBM will be disqualified due to the tax case,     Sarah becomes Pres.

2.  Bong Go and/or  Bato  pairs with Sarah.   Bong Go and or Bato win, they resign, Sarah becomes President.

3.  Term sharing?  (A bad idea, undemocratic)


Why do this only?  They seem to be the  formidable tandem in the election as per survey.    Surveys do count during a hotly contested election.   Politicians recognize that most the outcome of surveys can be correct.   

But definitely horse trading compromises are going to be part of negotiation.  Immunity from lawsuite (on the part of DDM) or on the part of Marcos.   

What do we think?  Will they do it?