Sovereign (maharlika) fund time has not come

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The said proposal seem to be a pet project of the Chief Executive and son    Its legislation and implementation seem to be ill timed:

1.  High level of debt  (P13+ trillion -  $240 billion

2.  Poor investment climate - world wide recession and inflation

3   Losses of of many investment funds, including those of experienced nation

Let us wait for the right time

A ;more united front needed from BBM family, cracks being seen from Ate

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MT veto of economic zone law alarms Imee M

A more united front is needed to be observed from Dynasty in Senate and Executive.   All ready the veto of  Bulacan economic zone is getting flak from Ate Imee.

In that case Ate must support the Pres and show the world they are solid.   We find the decision of the younger bros to be sound and deserve correction for an amended bill.   

Among the Chinese the oldest male gets the plum position and property recognized

However in the Balita news defends BBM decision

Will Supreme Court act on DQ case filed before BBM

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Despite comments by various citizen groups that SC still has the power to declare BBM as not qualified to be the President, it most unlikely that it will do so:

BBM DQ case elevated to Supreme Court

1.   BBM has now been proclaimed as President by NBOC;   the DQ case was overtaken by events;

2.   If BBM is not qualified to be candidate it should have been done early on when he ran for:

      1.   Senator,    2.  Vice President.  If he is not qualified now then he should be DQ'd then

3.   It is very unlikely that a person elected by sovereign will of the people can be overturned by decision

      of an appointive body.

Various scenario:

1.   SC justices will not act on petition or act on it at 6th year of BBM office;

2.   SC justices being appointee of Duterte will act on it, and elevate SD the Presidents daughter to Presidency.  (a remote possibility because)

3.   If BBM is disqualified, the next highest number of votes will become the President LR.

We do understand though and there is a precedent that an elective official after having been discovered as an American citizen was DQ'd by a PET and the BBM detractors might be able to do this.

Wiki -dq of Rizal Representative Manuel Sanchez

This post anticipate a slew of defamation and cyber crimes to the individuals who called out BBM with hideous names and tags.   

Proclamation of Pres Elect BBM and SD; a time of many firsts

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The joint meeting of Congress and Senate today convening as National Board of Canvassers proclaimed both Ferdinand Marcos Jr, and Sara Zimmerman Duterte Carpio  as Pres Elect and VP Elect. . Its no longer presumptive but Pres and VP elect.  Their status, power and authority have changed.  

YT proclamation of BBM and SD

 

Senator Migs Zubiri said the proclamation is a time for first:

1.  Having majority President and VP elect with both having more than 55% votes garnered (58% for BBM and 61% for SD)

2.  Both Pres and VP came from same party;

3.  North and South winning candidates

4.  Fastest canvass (only took 25 hours)

5.  Both Pres and VP are children of former Presidents

6.  Highest voter turn out at 80%

Both heads of the Congress and Senate thanked the  group of Leni Robredo for having waived their attendance in the event, and not objecting to election returns which was great sign of patriotism and greatness. This eased the tension despite protests of progressive groups at CHR.  As a result, the canvassing proceeded fast and somoothly 

The canvass proceeded despite pending cases at Supreme Court.   The said body gave 15 days to comment, and did not issue a TRO which was beyond the power of the said body over the canvass, and which could have led to a constitutional crisis.  The other issues vs BBM and or his family would be taken up as separate case and in its own venue.   

The proclamation saw the return in full force of the Marcoses:   BBM Imee, Irene and former FL. 

Despite dark clouds ahead:    the rally at CHR, the threat of further DQ by Supreme Court or a PET complaint, and IOM criticism efforts by rich Fil ams to discredit this election, the mood was festive and looked glorious and pompous and awe inspiring.  The people have spoken And for BBM and SD 

All ready we can see changes:

1.  Mellowed down posts of a soc media about BBM, posts are friendlier and or neutral (no editorializing)

2.  Opponents posing pictures with BBM

Its now different that BBM SD are proclaimed.  They are now elected and whatever cases are pending would surely take great efforts and maybe at least 6 years to finish.   

Will investors avoid the Philippines due to BBM win?

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The PSE dipped the day after BBM unofficial results came out.   There were reports that JP Morgan put PHL at the bottom of their investment list in ASEAN.   Mainly because of his academic credentials

This post does not think do.  PDU30 who admitted he is not an economist made sure he got a good economic team and managed the PHL economy well.   

Philippines has large population (high consumer and  local demand) is located centrally in Pacific region, has plenty of trained work force,    The investors will stay.   

If the fundamentals are good, if PHL is a good tourist destination and costs are low here, investors will continue to come here.   The conclusions allegation are illogical and do not make good sense

The investors will not bother much as to who leads the country 

Of late, the  ambassadors of many countries have paid courtesy call to the President elect showing the fake news to be fake

 

Prediction of Indian seer on the Philippines and BBM

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He correctly predicted winning of Catrina Gray, Duterte, and Donald Trump.  

This is what he has to say re BBM:

1. There is a lady with BBM who carries spear 2. There is a man who is joining BBM camp with the intention of wrecking BBM camp 3. That he will lead the country to progress

Unofficial count results for the Pres and VP not surprising

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For those who pooh poohed the surveys, maybe they should reconsider their points of view regarding SWS, Pulse Asia, Publicus, OCTA research.  The unofficial results based on ABS CBN feed

As of 2:32 AM, May 10, 2022, Marcos Jr., the standard-bearer of the Partido Federal ng Pilipinas, obtained 29,319,865 votes, based on 92 percent of partial, unofficial election results.   (from Comelec transparency server)

Leni Robredo got 13, 986, 496

This is consistent with the survey results that gave 57% of the  survey to BBM and 25% to VP Leni

Let us do the math:  

          60,000,000 x 92%  =  29,319,865/55,200,000    31.46% =   53%

                                              13,986,496                                       =25.33%

This should not come as a surprise.   The campaign managers the  strategists for the campaign should have paid attention to this numbers and did their best as early as January to cause the needle to move

What surprised every one was that Robin Padilla topped bested all other candidates in the Senatorial race.  This again should not come as a surprise  (and a surprise to the surveys because Tulfo and/or Loren were the consistent topnotcher.   Well it is all about popularity 

       

Nearing Judgement Day on May 9, 2022

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After months  of planning hard work on caravan, parades, meetings, publications at TV and soc media, everything comes to stop tomorrow.   On May 9, on Monday, comes judgement day.    This post dare say:

1.   Its a match up only between BBM SD, and LR and  KP

2.  Its a battle between the two on surveys and number of attendees on meeting;

3.  Many are worried about surveys and some came out with their own fabricated surveys which were

     promptly taken down.  While many are saying that surveys are mind conditioning and should be

     disregarded, the fact is the surveys correctly predicted the outcome of election

   

         1. PRRD victory

         2.  Leni Robredo victory as VP

         3.  GMA victory

         4.  Erap victory

    Otherwise the survey firm would not have earned anything or closed shop.  The fact is they can be 

    relied on and are used extensively in planning marketing campaigns.

4.  It is very likely as of now with all big wig support to BBM:   INC support, the governors commitment El Shaddai, BBM is most likely to win.  The surveys:   OCTA  Publicus,  Pulse Asia say 

this

5.  On his own BBM would have gotten only 15 to 20%;  the large percentage was brought about 

      by Pres daughter Sara who enjoy many supporter of her father (at 60% too).  BBM got the other

      35 to 40% on SD popularity

5.  However we do not know what trouble awaits BBM

    1.  Final decision on his DQ;  He could be DQ' SD takes his place.  Is he or is he not guilty 

         of crimes involving moral turpitude:   on his ITR, and Estate Tax

    2.  US action on his election  - will there be destabilization moves.  All ready many US

         publications are ranting vs BBM

6.  Questions that we must ponder;

     1.   Will BBM be an able leader?

     2.  Is he not a puppet?

     3.  Will there be stealing of govt properties and wealth as some had been advocating

While there are not too many deaths and killings, the interactions posts at say FB have rabid and 

devoid of civility.    Posting  cemetery markers near the name of candidate are not nice or calling 

somebody as criminals without sufficient proof.   

Or will SD be the new President?

We wonder

 

Who will emerge victorious in the May 9, 2022 Presidential Election?

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Fake 1 Sambayan survey

                                                            Fake who was behind this?

                                                             Who are dishonest?

                                                        Fake.  It made Leni appear to be leading

We pray for honest and orderly electioins, No CPP NPA or rightist destabilization, No Smartmatic Comelec Machinations

Will it be a battle between Leni Kiko vs BBM Sarah or the others Isko, Ping are giving it a last minute hard try.   I guess the surveys say it all and and may be it is just between the two front runners.  The Makati meeting of 4 Presidentiables hardly made a dent  on the election results and made it even more confusing, with IM asking Robredo to withdraw.  This post thought they would consolidate their  followers as VP Candidate David vs BBM.  The meeting fractured more the opposition

Kadami dami ng fake surveys fake news article and are very confusing.   We will finally see an end to this.  The senatorial race is generally peaceful.  The presidential race is chaotic.  

So who will you vote.  Both struggled and spent huge resources to make themselves known via soc media, tarps, house to house,  caravans, parades  Their trolls and their followers at various media painted good points about their candidates and bad points about their opposition.

Some comparison:

                                                    Leni Kiko                             BBM               Comment               

1.  Surveys:    Octa, SWS          20%                                       60%                 40% difference.                                                                                                                                             BBM is boosted                                                                                                                                                  by popularity

2,  Caravan                                appears more attendees      xxxxx

3.  Educ attainment                    lawyer, economist               xxxx                   however at debates

                                                                                                                          BBM appeared  brilliant

                                                                                                                          LR has many slip ups

                                                                                                                          LR has no records of law

                                                                                                                          practice

4.  Work experience                   VP, ,former congreswoman   Governor        BBM appears to have an

                                                                                                  Senator           edge here having                                                                                                                                            administrative experience  

5.  Weakness                            jueteng and assoction with      tax evastion     Vic Rodriguez and JPE

                                                 shady people by Husband        estate tax          were able to explain them

                                                                                                  plunder             well

Take your pick.  Who will lead our country to greatness.  If nothng goes wrong, its a victory for  BBM

     --

                                                                                                                                     

Evolving nature of campaign tactics and strategies

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It is really a time for evolution and innovation.  The campaign strategies and techniques hve radically changed in the Philippine setting.   Perhaps since 2016

It used to be campaign sorties:   house to house, miting de avance, meeting with the purok campaign leaders vote buying, cheating, terrorism

But now modern technologies are at work

1.  Use of social media:

     YT

     Face book

     IG and more

2.  Through these media you have:

     1.  YT of rallies and caravan

     2.  Trolls to create content for the favored candidate, or neutralize their accucastions;

     3.  Influencers:    Justice Carpio, Fmr Senate Pres Enrile, 

3.  Expensive  events:

   

     1.  Caravans

     2   Events/rallies

     3.  With generous t shirts and allowances

4.  Surveys contra surveys

    1.  SWS Publicus, OCTA, and own spontaneous surveys

    2.  Interviews of citizens at YT

 5.  Disruption of election results via Smartmatic and Comelec

Its two weeks to go. Whoever used the best combination of activities and resources will surely win

But fear factors are introduced Various scenarios are published:

     1.  CCP is allegely advising and supporting  VP Robredo

     2.  Scenarios:

          1.  BBM wins, but is DQ's either at Comelec and SD is promoted as Pres 

               BBM camp causes destabilization campaign

         2   LR wins and the BBM SD causes destablization

         3.  If there is trouble, PDU3 declares Martial law, CCP NDF joins the fray

Sayang sana we conduct this peacefully.  We are engaged in legal democtratic processes disrupt  our peace and progress

Destabilization (troubles) in case the other Presidentiable wins - alleges a reporter

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Rizal Philippines

4/19/2022

A presidential candidate now occupying a sensitive govt position was alleged to have told that there will be trouble in case the other leading candidate wins.  (Perhaps reminiscent of the walk out of election board of canvassers  for alleged irregularity)   Sen Ping Lacson declares this statement to be uncalled for and irresponsible.   

However they echoed the  same scenario in case BBM wins in their April 17, 2022 presscon

The allegation was promptly denied by the concerned party.  

Surveys in 2016 correctly predicted the tight race for VP in 2016

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While many are pooh pooing surveys most of the surveys conducted in the past were right.  Including the VP race in 2016.   The survey showed the VP race to be tight

""Marcos and Robredo are in a statistical tie, with the former at 29% and the latter at 28% voter preference, the results of the survey, conducted May 1-3 among 4,500 registered voters, showed.

Indeed it was.

Photofinish for the 2016 VP race

Save for a DQ from Comelec enbanc has the BBM SD tandem have the election wrapped up?

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BBM tops two latest surveys

Kalye survey of SPLAT shows 62% preference for BBM

SPLAT Kalye survey results

With barely a month to go before the May 9 elections, the BBM Duterte tandem has but all have the election wrapped up for themselves:  (except when in en banc the Comelec DQ BBM  (but which it will

try to avoid to do given that with such a majority, there could be a major political upheaval)

In the SPLAT kalye survey, the rating of BBM is 62% one of the highest in the history.  This covers the period April 1-10 involving 3,000 respondents.  

      1.  40% lead in the latest survey; this means a lead of 24 million in the Magdalo and SWS survey

           covering March

      2.  Cebu  QC  Cavite, all vote rich committing majority vote to the tandem;

      3.  90% of  governors pledged their support to BBM

The BBM SD tandem, perhaps having the resources perhaps got the best money can buy:   advisers,,  campaign manager strategists

     1.  Focused on the positive

     2.  Clear and easy to remember messages:  Unity, Gagalinng and Paggaling

     3.   Use of science in the campaign -  focus on vote rich areas, and where they are lagging

     4.   Going to the grass roots and utilization of political connection

     5.   Use to the hilt of social media to:

          1.  Deflect the negative

          2.   Negate the claim of very high attendance at their rallies.   A 220,000  claim in Pampanga

               was analyzed by a YT cohort was estimated to be only 70,000 which the PNP later on                             confirmed

         3.  Various influencers here and abroad to speak about issues being thrown to BBM.  The

              tandem used silence and preferred that underlings and followers, take the butt of the

              mudslinging

73 out of 81, 90% of governors support BBM

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90% of governors support BM.  No less than Danny Suarez and Chavit Singson support for BBM,  They vowed to make BBM the first majority President

This is ominous for other Presidentiables if you can get firm grass root support from Provincial chiefs.   This is better than show of force for caravans or large gatherings.   That you can get them to visit BBM at his head quarters speak well of growing influence and perceived power of BBM.

You will not go to the HQ of losing candidates.  The 90% is a large number to defeat;   much larger than survey numbers

90% of governors support BBM

Pity the candidate who has plenty of weakness.

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It is not a wise idea to run for a public office if you have a lot of negative data in your lifetime

As I was scrolling through a social media, this post was inadvertently brought to videos about the current candidate brouhaha.  The candidate, trailing in the survey, who attacked the frontrunner was subjected to many attacks on his personal circumstances.  Allegations were made: (in a number of videos)

      1.  To pay for unpaid  plane tickets which ran into millions

      2.   To pay for wages of drivers abroad;

      3.   To mind the children he fathered with other women (than his wife) in the Mindanao area

      He was thus featured as hypocrite for being man of bible and being dishonest and immoral

      Expect a lot of dirt to be thrown back to you if you made personal attacks vs the opponent

His close friend predicted he will be poor again for having squandered his PHP in this election.

Somebody should have advised him.  It is too late to back out.  He may lose.   And he committed a lot of mistake.  He may even face cases for alleging certain candidates to be involved in drugs, that is why the  drug lords are active again  

Department of Water

MPM square inch foreign policy

    

Prof Clarita Carlos - the new star in the current Presidential campaign?

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BBM seemed to 

Repost from Facebook

CLARITA CARLOS CONUNDRUM

Professor Clarita Carlos, one of the panelists for the SMNI Debate, proved to be the true star that outshone all presidential candidates who attended the posh Okada stage.

Many compared the debate to a grueling thesis defense as she was not only interrogating the candidates, but she was also commenting on the question of her co-panelist at one point.

Among the 4 candidates who attended, we think that Abella and BBM were the ones who were able to hold their own.

Abella, being a former Presidential spokesperson, was expectedly the most eloquent in our view. He may not always have the best answers but he made the answers sound coherent and sensible.

BBM had the most pragmatic approach. He showed that if voted President, he will take on the job knowing what is within the bounds of possibility - not like Ka Leody who we think was too idealistic in his responses. It was for sure a sigh of relief for BBM’s many supporters that he actually gave a solid performance.

Ka Leody was able to go through the entire debate with pure grit. It was obvious that he was struggling in some parts but we have to give him credit because he rallied to the end.

Gonzales was not that memorable. He had a bit of a hard time keeping up, with slow speech patterns and short answers, it was easy to forget he was even there - especially when Prof Carlos starts speaking in her no nonsense, slightly condescending tone.

Of the presidentiables who did not attend, we believe that it was Isko who missed out. It could have been a good opportunity for him to stand side by side with Marcos and position himself as the charming 2nd choice.

On the other hand, we think that Leni’s smartest move to date is missing the SMNI debate. We cannot even begin to imagine how she would handle the conundrum that is clearly Clarita Carlos.

#Eleksyon2022 #SMNIDebates #BBM2022 #KaLeody #Abella #Gonzales #IkawNaISKO #Leni2022

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