Impeachment of VP Sarah may not prosper

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#ChizEscudero, VPSarahDuterte, #impeachment, #AttyRomyMakalintal, #19thCongress

Atty Romy Makalintal, a famous election law lawyer has pointed out that if 19th Congress expires then a new case has to be filed which may not be allowed, since you can only be impeached once.  A Congress has to finish all its bueiness, and cant endorse the unfinished business to the next Congress.  The Senate and HOR may have a new composition  

  But Senate President said, that the impeachment can only proceed after the SONA, in which case, VP Sarah can be off the hook.  What do you think/

Under achievement by the former Sec of Education VP Duterte

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Of the 6,000 classrooms  targeted for construction only 192 were delivered.   COA reports on Dep Ed's achievement.   

Full of sound, lack of action.  We look for more of this from someone aspiring to be the next President.  Its more of the same.  Promising politicians.  Full of promises

More focused on politics, on confidential funds?

Wiser and more discerning voters in the next election?

Sarah Duterte's achievement in classroom construction

Its just a battle between BBM SD, and Leni Kiko

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With just a month a several days to go, we can can make a conclusion that the battle is just between 

two major well financed camps:   that of BBM and SD tandem, and  Leni - Kiko.   Red and green vs the Pink.   Clausewitz and other strategists are right -  its a battle of resources.   

Its not about your intellect nor your leadership.  What matters are your network, php for your gasoline, travel, tarpaulins, radio and tv ads, social media and for the rallies and caravans.   You need supporters and networks, sponsors and financiers financiers.

All ready some of the candidates who neither have the php or the grassroots supporters are folding up probably winding their campaigns, and looking every inch a loser despite their words. 

Gunning  for presidency is no small deal, as local candidates will ask for millions of support to run their own campaigns.  If you have none, you can not count on them.  

So who has the mostest wins.  We will find out

BBM Sarah still ahead in March DZRH survey

                                               Still leading despite all the  negative publicity?                   

                                                                     But why?

PDP Laban, Cusi wing endorses BBM SD

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With the PDP laban endorsement  under Resolution No. 26  endorsement and that of the a former soldiers group, this observer predicts that BBM SD tandem is most likely to win the 2022 election:    (the endorsement is tapos na boxing for Sen Pacquiao)

PDP Laban Cusi wing endorses BBM Sara tandem

The VP candidates in their debate agreed that the runaway winner will be this tandem.  And it is better for them to unite, so that the  vote of  opponents would be consolidated for Leni Kiko

1.  Very high  name recall -   It is an advantage  whether it is good or bad experience for  some people that Marcos name has a very high name recall, and so with Duterte (due to 6 years of Pres Dutertes reign . DU30 is very easy to remember What about other names?   For the second best candidate.?   Ever wondered why Sarah did not use her married surname -  Carpio.   Recall would be poor.  

2.  Wide representation to CDE population.     The second best candidate would appeal to ABC population which compromise only 30% of the  total population.  This post believes that the tandem is popular, dear to the  CDE voters who comprise 70% of the total voting population

3.  Geographical appeal.   SD appeals to Visayas and Mindanao, BBM maybe has 50%- 50% chance of taking Luzon votes.  But if indeed SD supports BBM, BBM would gain majority in Visayas and Mindanao

4   Silence during debate.    Some would say that non attendance of the debates is a sign of cowardice.  But I have seen many candidates lose their votes in open forum and debates.  Silence is golden.

5.   Logistics    BBM and DU30 are very likely to have huge resources - financial, connection, volunteers, old ties of her mother, GI connection

6.  Nega attacks made BBM more popular.and increased  name recall.   The DQ case at Comelec and further attacks and energy wasted by the political opponents increased the media mileage of the Red and Green tandem.  The underdog image is working for BBM

7.  Clear and focused campaign.    The tandem focused on few items that are dear to people's heart  Like the  magaling and paggaling  (building more centers -  heart kidney etc maybe in reference to the 

projects of her mother FL  Other campaigns are fuzzy and  vague

8.  More balanced and resource filled senatorial line up.   

That the tandem promise to continue the program of DU30 would likely win the endorsement of the 

incumbent President and increase the likelihood of their winning

The post may err but many things point to the possible win of the Red and Green tandem.    For others it would be waste of money and time.    

Who seems to be leading the race?

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From the looks of it, the BBM SDC seems to be leading in surveys and attendance to caravans.  We could be wrong, but it seems to be the trend.  Despite all the commentaries and blogs against BBM.  The young image, the youthful look which seem to be an indication of trapo departure seem to be their main advantage.  But really did they spend millions for the caravans.   Was the payola of P3,000 per vehicle true. 

With Isko, Ping, Pacquiao far very far far behind in the survey, will they have a close fight.   It takes more than courage and demagoguery I think to become a President.  

Roque endorses BBM Sarah Team.  Mark Villar joins the  BBM team.  Now their team is strong again.   They appeared to be weak when Bato and Go withdrew

We have yet to see if the platforms and vision of govt of others are solid and clear.   Even BBM and Sarah do not seem to have one.

Sarah Duterte withdraws COC for Mayor of Davao City, Sen Bong Go tallks of changing plans

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Incumbent Mayor Sarah Duterte Carpio withdraws her COC for Mayor of Davao City to be replaced by her brother Baste currently Vice Mayor of Davao City.  Sen Bong Go meanwhile talks of change of plans as announced in the TV radio programs today early morning.   Mayor Duterte's withdrawal was carried by major dailies yesterday.

This now fuels speculation that SDC will run either for President or VP, in a BBM SDC tandem or SDC BBM tandem.  (BBM Duterte tandem tops survey

This confirms guesses long time ago that there will be last minutes sub,   This is the old tactic made by her President father when he subbed for Dino.    Well as politician you are supposed to be smart.  If you campaign early, the opponents will sling mud at you.  Better observe first how the trend go and surprise  everyone.