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Showing posts with label surveys. Show all posts
Showing posts with label surveys. Show all posts

Sunday, April 24, 2022

Who will emerge victorious in the May 9, 2022 Presidential Election?

It is more fun criticizing



                                                            Fake who was behind this?
                                                             Who are dishonest?





                                                        Fake.  It made Leni appear to be leading







We pray for honest and orderly electioins, No CPP NPA or rightist destabilization, No Smartmatic Comelec Machinations

Will it be a battle between Leni Kiko vs BBM Sarah or the others Isko, Ping are giving it a last minute hard try.   I guess the surveys say it all and and may be it is just between the two front runners.  The Makati meeting of 4 Presidentiables hardly made a dent  on the election results and made it even more confusing, with IM asking Robredo to withdraw.  This post thought they would consolidate their  followers as VP Candidate David vs BBM.  The meeting fractured more the opposition

Kadami dami ng fake surveys fake news article and are very confusing.   We will finally see an end to this.  The senatorial race is generally peaceful.  The presidential race is chaotic.  

So who will you vote.  Both struggled and spent huge resources to make themselves known via soc media, tarps, house to house,  caravans, parades  Their trolls and their followers at various media painted good points about their candidates and bad points about their opposition.

Some comparison:

                                                    Leni Kiko                             BBM               Comment               


1.  Surveys:    Octa, SWS          20%                                       60%                 40% difference.                                                                                                                                             BBM is boosted                                                                                                                                                  by popularity

2,  Caravan                                appears more attendees      xxxxx

3.  Educ attainment                    lawyer, economist               xxxx                   however at debates
                                                                                                                          BBM appeared  brilliant
                                                                                                                          LR has many slip ups
                                                                                                                          LR has no records of law
                                                                                                                          practice

4.  Work experience                   VP, ,former congreswoman   Governor        BBM appears to have an
                                                                                                  Senator           edge here having                                                                                                                                            administrative experience  

5.  Weakness                            jueteng and assoction with      tax evastion     Vic Rodriguez and JPE
                                                 shady people by Husband        estate tax          were able to explain them
                                                                                                  plunder             well

Take your pick.  Who will lead our country to greatness.  If nothng goes wrong, its a victory for  BBM

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Sunday, April 10, 2022

Are surveys accurate?

It is more fun criticizing

Many candidates dump the importance of surveys.   Yet their supporters continue their support or desert them depending on survey results.

The surveys were correct with regards to Pnoy and GMA victory;  they also predicted Robredo and Duterte victories


That is the only metric KRA available to the candidates and the campaign managers.   Otherwise everybody will be in total darkness.    (In local elections they have term for that  "ïskrutinyo"    A religious group has been known to thrown in a support for a candidate by knowing the  iskrutinyo.  Though statistically they can not influenc the election result, the accuracy of their support based on the said type of survey give them a semblance of power and influence (leadership)

What is significant though is that surveys can influence the voters preference for the winninable candidate








Monday, December 13, 2021

Who seems to be leading the race?

It is more fun criticizing






From the looks of it, the BBM SDC seems to be leading in surveys and attendance to caravans.  We could be wrong, but it seems to be the trend.  Despite all the commentaries and blogs against BBM.  The young image, the youthful look which seem to be an indication of trapo departure seem to be their main advantage.  But really did they spend millions for the caravans.   Was the payola of P3,000 per vehicle true. 


With Isko, Ping, Pacquiao far very far far behind in the survey, will they have a close fight.   It takes more than courage and demagoguery I think to become a President.  

Roque endorses BBM Sarah Team.  Mark Villar joins the  BBM team.  Now their team is strong again.   They appeared to be weak when Bato and Go withdrew

We have yet to see if the platforms and vision of govt of others are solid and clear.   Even BBM and Sarah do not seem to have one.