Explanation for the flooding, cause not linear (no single cause) but systemic

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Causes of flooding in the Philippines

The cause of the flooding has been politicalized and many netizens/ citizens are not thinking properly.  Gone should be the mindset that events are caused in a single direction by single element.  The mindset being advanced (in critical thinking) is that causes are systemic. There are many interrelated elements contributing to result.  Just like the numerous wheels in a clock -  when one or several stop or are damaged the watch stop working.

So with the floods.

Because of the flood control narrative being spread, now it is common for many to say that the graft, the propensity of govt agencies concerned caused the floods.

But an expert pointed out that the solution to the flood control will mean many factors to work on:

     1.  lessening the flow:   reforestation, impounding pounds upstream

     2.  downstream :   dikes, storm drain, flood plains, deltas, pumps, solid waste disposal

     3.   sea:       retaining walls pumping station, 

     4.  safety  and risk mitigation -  remove the residents from flood prone plains and river banks, coastal areas.  

In Pampanga for instance, the almost permanent flood at Hagonoy, Masantol and Macabebe are caused by cofluence of flooding of Pampanga river, blocking of the drain by the NMIA construction, and the high tides all contribute to the flooding.    Raising the street level was band aid solution.     Having floodgates and massive pumps for the Pampanga river, looking at the NMIA blocking the rivers are worth looking into.  

Pampanga is a basin coupled that with the lahar lessening the water carrying capacity of rivers.  And the contribution of the Pampanga river being backfilled by Manila bay tides.   

We have forwarded this knowledge to a developer who wants to develop in an area which is near the rirver and a gulf.  Its elevation seen in Google Earth is at -0.1 meter    Pag naghightide ng 4 meters, lulubog na ang site.  And then blame the govt...... and the politician.  We cant deny also that substandard dike construction lack of master plan for flood control, having projects that really matter, misappropiation (theft) of public funds are also to be blamed.   It is a justified  indignation that people decry trillions did not go into flood alleviation projects. Trillions purportedly for lessening the suffering of peole gone to waste (and we taxpayers are going to foot the loan repayment

For the past two weeks and even yesterday, the volume of rainfall was unusually very high.    Japan, Vietnam, China suffered the same fate like ours.    Wrath of heaven.  (to punish the plunderers?)

Coastal areas will be especially be vulnerable.   Decades ago, sea levels were predicted to be going up due to melting of the poles and the Himalayas peak.     May be we did not listen.  Many  resorts are being built, communities along typhoon prone and flood prone beach fronts.    And now we blame the politicians.   Those who do not follow the CLUP and the building code.  We bribe building officials, we influence the mayor to give relief to no build zones....

Corruption is the omni explanationn for the floods.   Not so

Confirms the thesis that war is not won on battle strategies or military tactics; but on logistics

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The analysis is a masterpiece of critical thinking of the first principle, ie breaking down the weapons in its component.  Those are Pentagon did a masterful thinking on this campaign -  destroy the capability to produce the weapon that can swarm, and the asssymeteric warfare is gone.  

Peace to be here back soon.     

Congrats to US.  But the real purpose of the war is not that venerable, is it?  (Smokescreen for the domestic problems and conflicts and the loss of Petro dollars, Japan currency fiasco)

 

Many will continue to pass laws, orders, rules that are toothless

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Rizal Philippines
October 31, 2017

                                                       Political issue in USA -  uncontrolled number
                                                                of guns everywhere

Happy All Saints Day tomorrow.

I had a conversation this morning with someone who believe that at the barangay and homeowners association, they pass laws that are unenforceable, because there are no penalty who will enforce the provisions of the order/rule.

In my studies, a system to work, as in a law or order, it must  contain the following:

Purpose
Input,
Output
Throughput
Human Aid
Information Aid
Enviroment
Catalyst.

Incomplete laws

If the law/system is incomplete, the system/law wont work.  Sadly the law/rule makers do not consider these.  Thus for the catalyst for instance, there has to be rewards and  punishment that must be included.   If for instance:   you have the anti dog poo rule in a subdivision and there are no specifications as to penalty, who will enforce, how will the penalty be collected and managed, nothing will work.

For instance, the pedestrian lane provision in RA 4312  while being flaunted by many civil society senior citizen group is continued to be ignored by many because it is toothless, there is no penal provision, and should be deleted, because anyway, no one follows nor enforces it.

There were laws that were passed for instance like the SUC scholarships-  they have no definite funding. (A case of missing inputs)  Some say the requirements is in the order of P20 Billion.  Finance and budget people estimate this to be in the order of P100 billion.  In the case of SSS pension being raised by P2,000 a month for senior, this post estimate that indeed SSS would go bankrupt if no sources of funds/revenue are not thought of.   Now they are floating the idea of increased contribution to which the Leftist, who favor the incraese of pension now object

There  are many laws though that are enforced selectively, and or the ones concerned choose not enforce, or not every body knows the law or simply ignores the same