PAGSASANAY SA TAGUMPAY
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All ready there are talks of quitting and or shifting alliances and supporting a common candidate vs BBM or switching alliances
The reality bites:
1. Ranking in the surveys
The size of caravans and rallies are indicative of the support and popularity of the candidate. Lack of or miniscule attendance are indicative of the support of the candidate which is verifiable vs the result of the survey.
The debate, the media interview, the social media posts are very revealing say plenty about the
candidate. The current campaign sorties really show that some of the candidates are better off
elsewhere and are painfully inept in terms of international relations and even so in running the
country. Imagine a comedienne being a Palace adviser.
Some are erudite but lack the administrative experience of running a group or executing plans
and programs. Very few among the candidates have this experience only three
There are those whose experience is running a city but whose knowledge of ways of means
to run a country is suspect if not deficient.
My favorite candidate is not saying it quits, but says he lacks the P800 million to finance local
campaign (violated some of tenets of strategy - misdirection and secrecy Even American
generals employed decoys and misdirection in European campaign and lately even
in Desert Storm
Many say publicly to disregard the survey But marketers use them heavily to predict the
success of product campaigns. There are no other metrics for the campaign except perhaps the
surveys. Surely many fear the survey because they are indicative of the inputs to the campaign
The size of rallies and caravans certainly match the surveys.
2. Flow of campaign funds
The campaigns cost plenty of money. Lots of it. Before a councilor seat may mean P100k
fund requirements; mayor P500K to P1M, governor P10M, senator P100M, Pres P500m
Why can we say this? Some of our business associates borrow money before the election. We
have lent money to a sibling who ran for a local post and we aware of the amounts involved
Now it could be councilor P5M, Mayor P100M Governor. Congressman P200 to P500M
Senators About P1B, and Pres say P5B. Not everybody has these resources
A councilor friend is borrowing P2M for the last 30 days of campaign
So what is the ways and means? The flow of funds from supporters - businessmen, friends
and other investors.
Surely they would not support dead ducks Not many would be dejaderos. So those at the tail
end of survey would get zero funds flow Surely not many of the candidates have war chest as big
as Ellon Musk or Bill Gates. The campaign sorties expenses for caravans and rallies, plane fares,
helicopter rides must have drained the coffers of many candidates. For the last 30 days, some of
the candidates may have run out of funds. Those who have no more funds will surely say finis
to their campaigns.
The survivors
Only the top two in the survey who clearly have advantages in the strengths and in the survey
will slug it out on election day. May the best candidate win and lead our country to better future
(But at the end of the day, we the citizens working hard for our own self improvement and progress
will count more than the winners)
The rest will lick their wounds and count their losses and count this as an expensive tuition in life
