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Saturday, April 16, 2022

Save for a DQ from Comelec enbanc has the BBM SD tandem have the election wrapped up?

It is more fun criticizing












SPLAT Kalye survey results

With barely a month to go before the May 9 elections, the BBM Duterte tandem has but all have the election wrapped up for themselves:  (except when in en banc the Comelec DQ BBM  (but which it will
try to avoid to do given that with such a majority, there could be a major political upheaval)
In the SPLAT kalye survey, the rating of BBM is 62% one of the highest in the history.  This covers the period April 1-10 involving 3,000 respondents.  

      1.  40% lead in the latest survey; this means a lead of 24 million in the Magdalo and SWS survey
           covering March
      2.  Cebu  QC  Cavite, all vote rich committing majority vote to the tandem;
      3.  90% of  governors pledged their support to BBM

The BBM SD tandem, perhaps having the resources perhaps got the best money can buy:   advisers,,  campaign manager strategists

     1.  Focused on the positive
     2.  Clear and easy to remember messages:  Unity, Gagalinng and Paggaling
     3.   Use of science in the campaign -  focus on vote rich areas, and where they are lagging
     4.   Going to the grass roots and utilization of political connection
     5.   Use to the hilt of social media to:

          1.  Deflect the negative
          2.   Negate the claim of very high attendance at their rallies.   A 220,000  claim in Pampanga
               was analyzed by a YT cohort was estimated to be only 70,000 which the PNP later on                             confirmed
         3.  Various influencers here and abroad to speak about issues being thrown to BBM.  The
              tandem used silence and preferred that underlings and followers, take the butt of the
              mudslinging


Furthermore BBM being able to surmount the major issues and objections made his authority and power even more secure, ie that he is the man to beat all odds for the country:

       1.  Disregard of a slew of DQ cases;
       2.  Getting proofs of payment for ITR
       3.  The estate tax
       4.   The robbing  and dishonesty issue with regards to ill gotten wealth.   Really if they were
              guilty on what case has BBM been convicted.?  Why are they going around free and were able
              to run  for vice governor, governor, senator and VP

Meanwhile the opposition is in disarray.  The Unity talk vs the Unity Team fizzled out.  No one wants to back out despite appeals to unify so as not to splinter the vote.  There were a number of tactics that backfired:   featuring the VP as a saint;  many funny boboos by the VP,,  really negative negative things about Jessie Robredo while running  Naga City and association with Jueteng and criminals.  





    In spite of her endorsement by Catholic priests, nuns, officials and lay leaders, disregarding the church's neutrality; 

In spite of her endorsement by the officials and faculty of Catholic educational institutions across the country;

In spite of her endorsement by 161 economists (including former NEDA directors general) and academics;

In spite of her endorsement by various professional organizations;

In spite of an alleged surge of crowds in Robredo's campaign rallies;

In spite of the now open support by the CPP-NPA (Communist Party of the Philippines-New People's Army) and its fronts for her candidacy

In spite of her endorsement by some governors and other local executives, and some ex-public officials; and

In spite of the spread nationwide of her pink shirts, tarpaulins and other campaign bric a brac.

The Leni Robredo campaign has not moved the needle in the pre-election surveys. No matter what gimmick they try, no matter what group they sway to endorse her, the needle does not budge.

Finally, Marcos also leads decisively in all regions across the entire archipelago, including Robredo's home base, the Bicol Region.

In January, Marcos garnered 51-percent preference votes in Bicol as against Robredo's 33 percent.

This is an interesting read on planning, on goal setting and strategies.