Unofficial count results for the Pres and VP not surprising

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For those who pooh poohed the surveys, maybe they should reconsider their points of view regarding SWS, Pulse Asia, Publicus, OCTA research.  The unofficial results based on ABS CBN feed

As of 2:32 AM, May 10, 2022, Marcos Jr., the standard-bearer of the Partido Federal ng Pilipinas, obtained 29,319,865 votes, based on 92 percent of partial, unofficial election results.   (from Comelec transparency server)

Leni Robredo got 13, 986, 496

This is consistent with the survey results that gave 57% of the  survey to BBM and 25% to VP Leni

Let us do the math:  

          60,000,000 x 92%  =  29,319,865/55,200,000    31.46% =   53%

                                              13,986,496                                       =25.33%

This should not come as a surprise.   The campaign managers the  strategists for the campaign should have paid attention to this numbers and did their best as early as January to cause the needle to move

What surprised every one was that Robin Padilla topped bested all other candidates in the Senatorial race.  This again should not come as a surprise  (and a surprise to the surveys because Tulfo and/or Loren were the consistent topnotcher.   Well it is all about popularity 

       

Latest election results update

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From CNN Philippines

Philippines, May 10 2016, 3:20 am

Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte solidified his lead over his closest rival who is now admin candidate Mar Roxas, as of 3:00 am today:

Duterte is leading with 14,730,937 votes as of 3:20 a.m. of Tuesday (May 10).  His lead over the 2nd placer is nearly 6 million.

Liberal Party's (LP) Manuel "Mar" Roxas is in second with 8,829,758 votes, while independent candidate Grace Poe is in third place with 8,283,562 while United Nationalist Alliance bet Jejomar "Jojo" Binay has 4,921,758 votes, while Sen. Miriam Defensor-Santiago has 1,342,383 votes.

For the VP race, administration candidate Leni Robredo overtook Bong2 Marcos who initial led the count.   She has 12,860 722 vs Bong2 count of 12,860, 147

Davao City Mayor Duterte has extended his hand towards the healing process and reconciliation even to Sen Trillanes

Initial unofficial reports from transparency server shows the prediction of this site to be correct - Duterte/Bong2 win

It is more fun criticizing

Philippines May 9, 2016  6:33 pm

Twitter alerts for VP results

Wow the automated voting of Comelec is wowing many citizens for showing sizable number of precincts and votes, running into millions barely an hour after the closing of voting

Initial election returns shows Duterte to be leading the presidential race with sizable lead about 600t lead over (at of 6 pm today)  second ranking candidate Grace Poe.  Administration candidate Roxas is third.

For Vice President it is Bong2 Marcos. He leads over Admins canddate Leni Robredo by about 200t votes (it is a close lead)

This post predicted a Duterte Bong2 win  A likely Duterte Bong2 Marcos win?

Sen Bongbong Marcos could end up as the next VP