Iran Israel war; who is winning? Is the world on a verge of a war? Is US joining the fray?

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Prices of fuel have skyrocketed like the ballistic missiles being fired in the strife torn areas.   With it goes away our prayers for world peace   Trump has not ended Ukraine USSR conflict.  More conflicts are in the offing.

Iran has since countera attacked in the big way vs Israel sending in missiles and drones.  Many areas of Tel Aviv are destroyed.

Is US being drawn into the conflict?

Is Pope Leo X1V the last pope because fo this conflict    

Did, has Pres Trump kept his promise to end wars and achieve world progress?

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It may be too early to judge but has newly elected Pres of USA Trump kept his promise:

1.  To end war in Ukraine?

2.  To end war in Gaza and Israel?

3.  Has campaign vs illegals made life better for Americans?

Just wondering

Right now US is entangled with revenge vs Houtis at Yemen.  The war did not end.   It got bigger

End of the Ukraine USSR war? End of Ukraine US relationship?

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There was this news/video of Ukraine Pres Zelensky vs US Pres Donald Trump + VP J.D Vance in shouting match over the strategic metals deal (which others say is non existent).    Trump claims Pres Z is disrespectful of American people and many see Ukraine is ungrateful on past US aid to Ukraine in fighting the war.

The  ranting of Zelensky at White House is viewed as disrespectful of the US President, and thus Pres Z was shooed away from the meeting.   

There were plenty of troubles in the past:

1.  Allegations of moeny laundering of US aid;

2.  Zelensky when asked about $300 billion in US aid, he said I dont know which is irresponsible and unstatesman like.    And show how untrustworthy leader he is; and irresponsible.

Truly the behavior of Pres Z at the WH is less than respectable.   

If US no longer supports Ukraine, then there will be no more funds to finance the war, and it would stop.  And bad blood between US and USSR will cease.  This is not US + Ukraine vs USSR war.  It is a war between Ukraine and USSR.   

Nations must be ready to fight their own war, and must be realistic, that nations will mind their own people fist before others and alliances at best are only good in paper.

Trump must be admired in his efforts to end the war;   the killing of soldiers  on both sidesweekly is deplorable and must be stopped

Nations must stop fuelling war;   Peace not war.

Can Trump end USSR Ukraine war in 24 hours? - most likely not

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Newly elected Pres Trump boased that he can end the USSR Ukraine war in 24 hours. It seem unlikely

     1.  Trump has ruffled feathers in Europe;

     2.   There is a problem with missing billions in US aid under Bidien to Ukraine;

     3.   Trump wants Ukraine to pay back US aid (to help lower US deficit)

     4.    Trump and  Zelensky engaged in word war;   Trump would pay $500 B for Ukraines  strategic metals mine (some say this is non existent)

What the world wants now is world peace as promised.   Waiting for Trump to keep his promise

Missing US aid to Ukraine, Pres Zelensky claims only $70B out of $177B claimed by US as aid was actually received!

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Where is the aid?   Who made the $100 b disappear?  Zelensky says he does not know.  Too much corruption:  either Ukraine or US.  Who is truthful.  

Corruption, corruption everywhere.  How come Pres Z says he does nto know? 

What do you think =  where are the missing billions

US must streamline many of its processes and the DOGE might be useful on its way to straighten up and lessen corruption

North Korea and Russia alliance in tatters, North Korean soldiers deserting war

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After entering into a military alliance, 10,000 to 12,000 North Korean soldiers were deployed to Ukraine.   The move had serious shortcomings -  the Nnrth Kor soldiers were not taught how to speak Russian, they had not seen war, and no idea of what they were doing. 

Plus they were expeosed to internet and Western affluence.    In the Ukraine war, they ran away from the  battle front, probably scared wandering far into Ukraine forest.   Now tighter oversight and supervision was resorted to.  

But this does not bode well for the alliance nor quick Russian victory in Ukraine

Can Trump end Russia Ukraine war in twenty four hours as promised before election? Peace soon in Ukraine?

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In another version of YT at Android it was reported that Pres. elect Donald Trump has all ready started to broker peace talk with  Ukraine.  This could lead to peace and less $ waste for US,.  The deal is supposed to be:

     1.   USSR will keep occupied territory at Ukraine.

     2.  There will be 800 mile DMZ

     3.  The peacekeeper will be Europeans and /or UN, not US (to economize again)

     4    UKraine has 20 year ban not to join Nato.

One less war to worry.   Only ME (Israel and Iron)   China vs Taiwan (or PHL) to worry about.

Changing strengths vulnerabilties of war weapons

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The published and actual performances of weapons varies.  It may have to do with climate, the users, and other battle conditions

1. Drones

    1.  The Turkish drones exhibited superior performance in Ukraine war.  However, lately, no niews

          have been heard.

    2.  The Chinese drones are superior in number and cheaper than US drones

2.  Unmanned sea and air vehicles

     1.  More survivability;   less political backlash, less problem in recruitment and training.  The US seemed to be ahead in this

3.  Tanks

     1,Merveka tanks of Israel can easily be destroyed by Iranian tanks

     2. Abrams and Bradley tanks -  easy prey to Russian drones and their cheap missile.  The Ukrainians

         put another layer of wire mesh protection vs anti tank projectiles.   But now the very expensive 

         war machines are not sol invincicble after all

4.  Air defense system

     With an excellent air defense system, the jet fighters, even the stealth ones become obsolete

      However good helicopters with their missile system can defeat from a distance a $400 million

      air defense system

5.  Missile system

     As was seen in Israel example, sheer volume of missiles launched, even cruide and cheap ones

     can confuse even multiple air defense system.  Even in Iran missile attack to Israel, the defense vs

    $500 million missiles launched vs Israel. cost a staggering  $1.5 billion in a matter of hours from

    combined naval, air, and land defense system from two powerful countries.  Not cost effective eh

Some lessens:

1.  It is not technological  superiority, it it is sheer volume. The less superior American tanks (but more in number won the tank battless in Europe in WWII M4 Sherman tanks.    Will power and strategy

2.  Survivability, being unmanned is now the name of the game

3.  Aircraft carriers, jet plane and weapons are not preferred anymore.  Missiles and defense system

    therofre, the search for superiority shall be in this area

Evolving warfare technology renders current military hardware obsolete

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                                                          Cheap Turkish drones

                                                          Armed drones from China to Ukraine

                                                           UK made NLAW

                                                  Shoulder fired anti aircraft weapon

                                               Russian destroyer Moskva listing on fire

The current war at Ukraine vs Russia, and the corresponding victories and defeats show the  vulnerability of current military hardwaree.  Russia lost thousands of troops, aircraft hundreds of tanks  and even their prized flagship Moskva to a missile attack.  It was supposed to be an air defense missile and  launch pad of cruise missile and anti aircraft missiles

Some game changers:

1.  The drones from Turkey and US

    1.  To scan and observe the battle situation

    2.  To deliver munition payload vs the adversaries

2.  Shoulder carried:

   1.  Anti tank weapons, Javelin and NLAW from UK

   2.  Anti aircraft soldier carried weapons.

Some of the technologies may no longer be effective:

    1.  Aircrafts:   helicopter and jet fighters

    2.  Battleships and aircraft carriers

    3.  Tanks and mechanized warfare

What would remain would probably:

   1.  Much tougher tanks (like the Abrams)

   2.  Different kind of aircraft that can evade RPgs or shoulder carried weapons

   3.  Smaller frigates and corvettes equipped with missiles

   4   Multiple missile launchers

The history of weaponry and warfare could be classified as:

  1.  Ancient times

      Infantry foot soldiers with bow and arrow and swords

2.  Medieval times 

     Castles and missile launching equipment

     Armor clad knights, and gunpowder

3.  Modern times:

     World War 1 and 2:

     1.  Tanks

     2. Machine guns

     3.  Howitzers

     4.  Aircrafts

     5.  Naval armaments:   battle ships, destroyers 

4.  Desert storm 

    continuation of use of WW2 technology:

    1.  Bigger and faster aircraft carrier

    2.  Faster jet planes with more weapons

    3.  Tanks with better weapons and armor  (Abrams tanks)

    4.  Innovation:   cruise missiles, precision guided bombing

5.  Unrestricted warfare by the PLA

     The Chinese army colonels proposed an unrestricted warfare, not only carried at the  military 

     front, but economy, at IT, trade, commerce, finance.   or even bactrerioligical warfare.  Some alleged

     that covid 19 was part of this strategy.  

     The sanctions being imosed by US by Nato, EU on Russia are part of this UW.

6.  The Ukraine war

     Changed the outcome of the war with weapons that nullified the size of Russia and their blitz and

     juggernaut.    See how drones can humble a $3M tank or shoulder fired weapons downing a $20 

     million helicopeter or a a much more expensive SU#4

Did Russia achieve air superiority in Ukraine?

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Russias invasion of Ukraine has stalled. One of the reasons is lack of clear air superiority?  

While Russia has more aircraft and more modern  equipment.  

Why so?   The pilots of Russia lacked the training to seek out SAM and eliminate them.  Most of them because  of this weakness have to fly at low attitudes exposing them to personnel borne anti aircarft weapons. 

The armored columns and even helicopters are not safe from Ukrainian defenses.  Also the drones from Turkey has been wrecking havoc on Russian forces

Did Russia achieve ari superiority in Ukraine

The current military hardware changed the rules of the  warfare.  The soldier carried anti tank weapon, the  drones have  changed the games of war.   Having heavily clad tanks do not mean victory nor tech aircraft.  They can be easily shot down by new SAM,, and shoulder carried anti aircraft weapon when flying at low altitude

Armed drones which are inexpensive can wreck havoc on armored columns.  They can also detect the troop and armored movement.   No armored troops care safe.    No need for risky recon foot patrols

Presidentiables foreign policy pronouncement

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This post is happy that Presidentiable Lenny Robredo has a cogent foreign policy view on WPS; that we will not be dragged into a conflict.  This contrast with some of the positions taken by foreign policy experts, former senior office  of the  govt on the same issue.

https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1519839/fwd-leni-robredo-our-position-on-west-philippine-sea-issue-must-be-consistent

We can not afford to mess up with imperialists despots like Xi or even Putin.  

Other Presidentiables stand on Ukraine conflict

Is Russia , not Ukraine rebels behind the fatal crash of Malaysian Airlines Flt MH 17?

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Rizal Philippines   July 20, 2014

From Fox News

And Global research - was Ukraines  Ministry  behind the downing of the MH 17.    There were news that MH 17 was escorted by MIG fighters 3 minutes before the plane disappeared.  The missile was fired from Bukov missile defense system.  This is another version that Ukraine Govt was behind the firing.

There has been an international outcry against the rebels, allegedly supported by Russia, as behind the fatal and deadly crash of Malaysian Airlines that killed all the 298 passengers.  There has been a lot of complaint too on how the dead and the remains of the ill fated plane are being handled.

The crash site is declared off limits to visitors, journalist, the crash investigator, and the Ukraine rebels (take note that the rebels are separatists and supported by USSR, not by US as alleged by Putin)

Sec Kerry, and not just Fox news alleged that the SA 11 rockets were:

1. supplied by Russia to Ukraine rebels.  There are 4 rockets in the pod, but only remain as the picture shows;

2.  that the rockets were fired by Russian and not by Ukraine rebels as alleged.

The Fox News also mentions that a certain Russian Colonel named Igor boasted of the MH 17 kill on the social media?

Will this incident move Putin and Obama to the brink?

Will the International outcry affect the Ukraine problem/Putin (many experts do not think so)?

Will this be another Russian misadventure that will be forgotten?

Many movies are larger than life and many events like this has been, in fiction form the, the same plot as this MH 17.